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The Butterfly Effect

 

 

The Syrian spill over Lebanon… What is not said in Local Media and its immediate impact on the socio/economic structure in the regional and international politics of the Middle East…

History in repetition, the free Syrian Army and its role in subduing Hezbollah scenario in the making…

The spill of refugees fleeing the Syrian conflict is mounting in substantial numbers to a dangerous level on the socio/economical structure of Lebanon, Jordan and Iraq, while Turkey exerts strenuous efforts to restrict the impact to its borders…

In this article we will focus on the Lebanon side effect of this conflict.

There are hundreds of thousands of Syrian refugees arriving to Lebanon in groups reaching sometimes up to ten thousand per day.

Lebanon suffers not only on the humanitarian level from such influx of refugees but there are serious health concerns as well as cultural, social and economical exhaustion due to the lack of basic infrastructure that would enable Lebanon to coup with this human deluge and contain its butterfly effect starting from increasing demand on basic consumer products and strains to essential commodities national stock, street traffic, parking, accommodation and labor not mentioning inflation and communal irritation which would prove to be a major issue if not dealt with immediately on the national and international level.

Hundreds of Syrian women, men and children are flooding the streets of Lebanon begging for all sorts of aid to help them overcome their hardships and Lebanese are already suffering a great need themselves due to the butterfly effect of the Syrian conflict and the lack of any constructive involvement by the Lebanese government.

And as if that is not scary enough for a cause and effect principal, there seems to be a hush hush preparation for what may be even scarier, and that is a sudden awakening of the western powers  to supply arms to the free Syrian armed coalition to help them over throw the current dictator regime in return of a future mandate for that army to help in breaking the  perfidious thorn of Hezbollah and the control it exercise over Lebanese politics believing that by neutralizing Hezbollah influence on the regional stage would initiate the fall down of Iran…

Will Lebanon witness yet another Syrian military intervention within its borders under a different Syrian flag, the free Syrian army flag this round. And, if this scenario is to roll into place in the near future what would it entail on Lebanon and its unique mosaic which gave its existence in the first place.

Predicting the future is a very unstable art, when one looks into a probable future one may change that nature of such future. I hope by peaking into this probability I would cause a change to the better for Lebanon and its very shaky future to be.

Adam El Masri

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